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I'm going to guess that yes they could since you haven't purchased the car yet. But I'm also going to guess that no halfway-reputable dealer would do this in the circumstance you've explained, especially since you've already traded in a car.
As I understand it, since BMW NA is the importer the tariff is actually paid by them, so it'd probably be their decision whether or not to pass the cost on. Again, I'd certainly hope they wouldn't for a car already ordered and/or in production.
Is the purchasing agreement a signed, legally-binding document? I'd think that if you have the right not to buy the car, they'd have the right to change the price. But IANAL. I think I'd just call your CA and ask if they have any guidance.
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